Category: Verification (Page 44 of 53)

These posts take a look back at recent weather events, like snow storms or severe weather outbreaks, and evaluate how the forecast played out. We evaluate how well the models predicted what actually occurred, and offer insight into what can be learned and applied moving forward.

Is the weather pattern finally set to change as we begin the month of December? 

With another month behind us, we once again have to talk about record warmth and continued drought for the Front Range. Is the weather pattern finally set to change as we begin the month of December?  Read on as we examine Boulder’s climatology and consider the current state of the atmosphere to give our outlook for the next month. We also touch on the potential for a snowstorm next week.

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Looking ahead to November: Climatology and this year’s outlook

Following a very dry and historically warm month of October, the fire bans are back as the drought continues to expand in coverage across the Front Range. For the lower elevations, the most prominent fall color this year has been brown. Will November bring a wetter weather pattern that we desperately need? Read on as we examine Boulder’s climatology and consider the current state of the atmosphere to give our outlook for the next month.

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Amidst this warm October, where’s the snow?

Do you know what today is? If you’re thinking October 20th, while correct, you’re missing the more important point. Today is the climatological median date of Boulder’s first measurable snowfall! This means that exactly half of the time, the season’s first snow occurs before this date, while half of the time it occurs after.  While we understand you’re disappointed to know that 2016 is officially in the bottom half of our climatology percentiles, fear not. The odds of our first snow remaining at-large is decreasing every day! We discuss where the snow has been this year, and what lies ahead as we close out the month of October.

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This week in weather: October 3, 2016

After two straight weeks of mostly sunny and warm conditions, the week ahead will feature quintessential Colorado fall weather. With the passage of two cold fronts, we’ll transition from the 80’s early in the week, through wind, rain and cold…to the potential for snowflakes by week’s end. Continue reading for our complete outlook of the week ahead.

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