While the fire ban has been recently lifted in many Front Range counties, September did little to relieve the parched landscape with yet another month of well below normal precipitation. Will October offer up the soaking rain and mountain snow that we desperately need? Read on as we examine Boulder’s climatology and consider the current state of the atmosphere to give our outlook for the next month.
Category: Verification (Page 45 of 53)
These posts take a look back at recent weather events, like snow storms or severe weather outbreaks, and evaluate how the forecast played out. We evaluate how well the models predicted what actually occurred, and offer insight into what can be learned and applied moving forward.
Let us be the first to welcome you to fall! That’s right…summer is no more, at least to us weather folks. September 1st marks the beginning of meteorological autumn. Picture-perfect weather has been a mainstay throughout the summer, which is both good and bad. The monsoon plume has largely been confined to our south and west, keeping the Front Range relatively parched, leading to dry and at times, dangerous fire conditions. Will this trend continue into September? Read on as we examine Boulder’s climatology and consider the current state of the atmosphere to give our outlook for next month.
Summer is the one time of year when you don’t need us meteorologists. You already know the weather for today (and everyday) will start sunny, warm into the 90’s, then promptly cloud up and produce a brief storm which generates a “just okay” rainbow before another stunning Colorado sunset. If it feels like we’ve been enjoying a much nicer, less rainbow-filled summer than normal, you’re not alone, nor imagining things. It’s been dry. Historically dry.
We discuss the official return of drought to Colorado and provide our thoughts on the outlook heading into September.
Following four days of unseasonably cool temperatures, this week begins warm as moderately-moist southwest flow dominates the region. By mid-week, moisture associated with two tropical cyclones spreads into Colorado alongside a cold front from the north. With this, we’ll see storm chances increase and temperatures fall once again. Read on for our complete weekly outlook.
The last seven days have been quite dry across Boulder and the Denver Metro. We have also seen swings in temperature from the 90’s to the 80’s with a few frontal systems. This first week of August will start off warm in the 90’s, with a transition to cooler weather by week’s end. Wait until you see how chilly we are forecasting for Friday! Thunderstorms will be possible each day, although our best shot appears to hold out until the end of the work-week. Read on for this week’s full forecast.
For the past several weeks, we have largely received the short end of the stick in regards to weekend weather. If it wasn’t rain, it was snow. If it wasn’t snow, it was the cold and fog. Mother Nature’s timing couldn’t have been more unfortunate, with storm after storm arriving promptly at the end of each work-week. However, this week we finally break this pattern as conditions quiet down and heat up across the Front Range. Continue reading for our full weekend outlook and when we expect the rain to return.
With a bulk of this winter’s snowfall now behind us, we’d like to take a moment to review the outcomes of our snowfall forecasts. From the early-season storm that flew completely under the radar, to the epic blizzards in late February and mid-March, it was a great year for powder across the Front Range! From the good, to the bad, to the downright ugly, we crunch the numbers to see how well our snowfall forecasts verified throughout the Denver Metro area across the entire winter season.
After much hype, Mother Nature delivered a mid-April wallop of snow to northeast Colorado this weekend. Some of us fared (much) better than others, but just about everyone got in on the action. We review the good and bad of our forecast and check in on the health of our mountain snow pack.
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