Category: Verification (Page 36 of 53)

These posts take a look back at recent weather events, like snow storms or severe weather outbreaks, and evaluate how the forecast played out. We evaluate how well the models predicted what actually occurred, and offer insight into what can be learned and applied moving forward.

Important announcements about BoulderCAST this winter

October 8, 2018 / BoulderCAST Team

Winter is in full swing, but don’t worry, BoulderCAST has you covered. We have several important announcements related to the ongoing snowy season.

A look back at the warm summer with almost no monsoon in Colorado

September 11, 2018 / Ben Castellani

Though there is officially still about one week left in summer, meteorological summer ended last weekend. We take a look back at what ended up being a warm, monsoon-deprived summer in which severe thunderstorms lessened wildfire and drought concerns. We also congratulate the 25 winners of our 2018 Summer Heat Contest!

Using Pikes Peak to train SummitCAST’s mountain weather forecasts

July 10, 2018 / BoulderCAST Team

We explain how SummitCAST is “trained” via machine learning to produce the most accurate mountain weather forecasts possible. We also show you where you can find hourly updated forecast verification for SummitCAST…helpful if you want to gauge the uncertainty in our forecasts when heading to the Colorado’s mountains.

A recap of this week’s “double shot” of severe weather, more large hail possible on Friday

June 21, 2018 / BoulderCAST Team

It’s been a busy weather-week to say the least….There is usually only one or two days per year where a significant severe weather outbreak impacts the immediate Metro area. It just so happens this year those two days of severe weather occurred back-to-back! We review the damaging hailstorms that transpired earlier in the week and also look ahead to Friday’s forecast which may have large hail returning to the Boulder/Denver area.

DayCAST: Tue 06/19/18

June 19, 2018 / Ben Castellani

A recap of yesterday’s hailstorms, a discussion of today’s forecast which contains more hail, and a look at the eye of Category 4 Hurricane Bud from GOES-16.

Remnants of Hurricane Bud will bring beneficial rains to Colorado this weekend

June 13, 2018 / Ben Castellani

A favorable atmospheric set-up will help to funnel the remnants of Hurricane Bud, currently churning off the coast of western Mexico, into Colorado over the upcoming weekend. We discuss the impacts this will have for the Front Range and the rest of the state.

What’s causing this heat wave and when will it end?

June 8, 2018 / BoulderCAST Team

Are you tired of the heat yet? We discuss the weather pattern responsible for the recent heat wave and explain why it’s going to be difficult to unseat this hot airmass heading forward. Continue reading

This week in weather: June 4, 2018

June 4, 2018 / Ben Castellani

The weather pattern for the week ahead will exhibit shades of the middle of summer with a ridge of high pressure parked across the south-central United States. As a result, temperatures in the Metro area will soar into the 90’s with only limited chances for rainfall through the week. This forecast doesn’t bode well for the meager snowpack remaining across the High Country.