Category: Tropical Weather (Page 3 of 25)
The atmosphere is gearing up for a busy stretch in Colorado, and this week’s forecast has a little bit of everything: a juicy monsoon plume to start, a sharp mid‑week dry‑out, and eventually a deep moisture surge tied to a tropical cyclone that could push the state’s moisture levels into rare territory. Whether that translates into meaningful rainfall east of the Continental Divide is the big question — and the answer hinges on timing, storm motion, and whether we can sneak in a well‑placed cold front or two. There’s plenty to watch this week for the Front Range. Let’s dig into the details.
A stubborn late‑summer pattern is locked in across the Front Range this week. While it won’t bring major shifts, it will deliver subtle day‑to‑day changes worth watching. A strong subtropical ridge keeps monsoonal moisture just high enough for daily storm chances, yet still too disorganized to produce reliable rainfall — a theme all summer. With shifting flow aloft, a mid‑week cold front and moisture bump, and a gradual drying trend late in the week, there’s plenty to unpack, from renewed severe potential to evolving flash‑flood risks and ongoing drought concerns. Read on as we break down the key ingredients driving this persistent — and likely still underperforming — monsoon pattern.
A series of subtle weather shifts will shape the upcoming week along the Front Range, beginning with a return to warmer temperatures and a brief interruption of monsoonal moisture. A midweek frontal passage then reintroduces instability, moisture transport, and an uptick in storm coverage — including the potential for some severe cells. Heat will rebuild late week as the ridge re-strengthens over the area, before another likely resurgence of monsoonal flow enters the discussion for next week. Read on for all the details.
After weeks of sizzling heat and hydrological disappointment, a deep surge of monsoon moisture is pushing into the Front Range today, with precipitable water values approaching 200% of normal and a highly efficient rainfall environment already in place. Satellite imagery and overnight boundary interactions are signaling an active convective day ahead, with both severe and flooding hazards on the table Thursday. Monsoon storm chances will progressively decrease but ultimately stick around through the weekend alongside below normal temperatures. We dive into the forecast specifics, including the monsoon moisture transport, mesoscale boundaries, severe and flood risk, expected rainfall amounts, and how the weekend will play out as subtropical moisture slowly retreats.
Eastern Colorado just came off a truly blistering weekend, with Denver and Boulder both shattering daily records as temperatures surged past 100°F on back‑to‑back days. Now the pattern is shifting, at least temporarily. An unusually juiced monsoon plume will set the stage for more robust afternoon storms through mid‑week, including a legitimate threat for locally heavy rainfall and burn‑scar flooding. But the faucet will shut off quickly. A rapidly intensifying Southwest heat dome will retrograde into Arizona late‑week, cutting off monsoon flow, drying out northern Colorado, and potentially steering wildfire smoke from the Pacific Northwest into the state as winds shift. By the weekend, the Front Range will sit on the fringe of that expanding heat dome, meaning another round of hot, dry weather and potential triple-digit readings again. Read on for all the details.
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