After weeks of unseasonable warmth, the Front Range is staring down its first taste of winter. Mild weather will continue for the next few days, including a beautiful Thanksgiving holiday, but by Friday night a powerful cold front will surge into Colorado, ending this historic snow drought with our first flakes of the season likely to fall. Read on for a full breakdown of what to expect and when, including our preliminary snowfall forecast map for Friday night.

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It’s been a tricky week for the weather models — and for us forecasters trying to make sense of it all. Our latest storm system has kept everyone on their toes, thanks to a complicated dance between two low-pressure systems across the Southwest. Each new model run seemed to rewrite the story, with big swings in outcomes and plenty of disagreement between guidance. But now that the storm is closing in, confidence is finally improving: we’re looking at a light precipitation event for the Front Range, with rain the only worry across the lower elevations.

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