Category: Verification (Page 16 of 53)

These posts take a look back at recent weather events, like snow storms or severe weather outbreaks, and evaluate how the forecast played out. We evaluate how well the models predicted what actually occurred, and offer insight into what can be learned and applied moving forward.

December 2022 Graphical Weather Review: A fickle month of fire, snow & historic cold!

December 2022 was a rather fickle month. Things started off somewhat warm and dry, and there was even a sizable wildfire just west of Boulder in the week leading up to Christmas. The weather quickly turned much colder and snowier for the holidays, including the coldest temperature reading in more than 30 years for the city. Here’s a quick and colorful graphical recap of our weather during December and how it relates to climatology.

Continue reading

Storm Recap: The spring-like storm in December that unexpectedly dumped up to foot of wet snow

Well, there’s no possible way of sugar-coating things here — our snowfall forecast for this one ended up being WAY off. Though hopefully our in-depth discussions beforehand stressed that the exact outcome of this specific snow event was much more uncertain than usual. Heck we even called out this forecast as being “a bit like playing a drunken game of darts”. We’ll first take a look at the regional snowfall totals, discuss what went wrong with the forecast and dive into what made this incredible moisture-infused spring-like storm so difficult to predict in the middle of winter.

Continue reading

Front Range Snowfall Totals: December 12-13, 2022

Many of you were likely underwhelmed by the snowfall event this week which was inevitable. Despite the media hype for this storm, the most likely scenario, at least from a pattern recognition standpoint, ultimately did unfold across the Denver area with most locations seeing little to no snowfall as the heavier bands stayed just to the east. Let’s take a look at the snow totals across the Front Range!

Continue reading

November 2022 Graphical Weather Review: A rare top ten finisher for BOTH cold and snow!

November 2022 finally broke the streak of four consecutive months of above normal temperatures in Boulder — and by a considerable margin. The bitter cold air led to several fluffy snow events across the area which aided in etching this November as a top ten snowiest and coldest November for the city. Here’s a quick and colorful graphical recap of our weather during November and how it relates to climatology.

Continue reading

« Older posts Newer posts »