Category: Verification (Page 13 of 45)

These posts take a look back at recent weather events, like snow storms or severe weather outbreaks, and evaluate how the forecast played out. We evaluate how well the models predicted what actually occurred, and offer insight into what can be learned and applied moving forward.

This week in Colorado weather: December 13, 2021

Well, Denver’s snowless streak finally came to an end as a dusting of frozen precipitation was reported at Denver International Airport this past Friday morning. Unfortunately, the week ahead will not continue the trend with a largely dry week expected. We are closely watching a quick-moving storm set to race across the area on Wednesday which could bring white-out conditions to the Mountains and very strong winds to the Denver Metro area. The meager chance of rain/snow with this mid-week system will offer little reprieve for the extreme drought which now encompasses the entire area.

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The chance of snow on Friday has waned, but here’s the latest

We hate to be the bearer of bad news, but someone sadly has to assume that role today. What looked like a somewhat good, though uncertain, chance of snow for us earlier in the week has transitioned to a situation where almost every weather model is now struggling to come up with much, if any, snow in the Denver Metro area tonight into Friday. Let’s take a look at what happened and how much snow is currently expected.

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Boulder underwhelmingly reported its first snowfall of the season last night, tying 2016 for the latest on record

The saga for our first measurable snowfall of the season is finally over, in Boulder at least. In a rather uninspiring fashion, the city reported its first official snowfall early Wednesday morning before sunrise. Let’s review how it happened, check in how this fits in with climatology, and congratulate the winners of our 2021 First Snow Contest!

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A second chance at our first snow: A cold but quick system is gearing up for Thursday

After a lull in the weather on Wednesday, the action picks up quickly again on Thursday with the arrival of a swift-moving but ultimately weak storm system that will bring another round of rain and snow to the Front Range. We discuss which areas are favored this time around to potentially see their first snow of the season and detail when widespread freezing temperatures will arrive.

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