A pair of severe, supercell thunderstorms exploded across the northern Front Range late Thursday evening with very little advanced notice for residents. Hail larger than baseballs caused significant property damage on the northern and northeastern Metro area — roofing, siding, car windows and gardens stood no chance against the onslaught. The hail repair and insurance scammers are probably already knocking on doors this morning or making cold calls! We take a look at where the largest hail fell and why the forecast was so poor.
Category: Verification (Page 2 of 45)
These posts take a look back at recent weather events, like snow storms or severe weather outbreaks, and evaluate how the forecast played out. We evaluate how well the models predicted what actually occurred, and offer insight into what can be learned and applied moving forward.
In extremely rare fashion, Mother Nature’s incredible showing of the Northern Lights Friday night extended across nearly the entire continental United States, including a shimmering display of pink and green hues over the Denver area. If you somehow missed the exceptionally infrequent sight Friday night, you have a second chance Saturday night as severe geomagnetic storming is set to continue across planet Earth for at least one more night. Unfortunately, you won’t be able to see much in the Front Range this time around due to cloud cover. However, a couple hours of interstate driving should be enough to reach clear skies in order to take in round number two Saturday night. Let’s discuss!
After another round of spring snow over the weekend, the pattern will stay somewhat active across the Front Range this week, but with the warmer late April temperatures translating to only rain chances for the lower elevations. Unfortunately it looks like the gloom will stick around into the upcoming weekend as well. Let’s take a look.
The month of March was fairly dry and chilly most of the time, but we can’t forget the historic El Niño snowstorm which slammed the entire Front Range around the middle of the month. Snow totals of 1 to 2 feet occurred in Boulder and Denver with up to 5 feet fell in the nearby Foothills. Here’s a quick and colorful graphical recap of our weather during March and how it relates to climatology.
After a solid dump of springtime snow Sunday night, including widespread thundersnow, things will turn quiet for the week ahead with temperatures trending from downright chilly back to t-shirt weather by week’s end. We recap last night’s snowstorm, check the snowfall totals, and detail the Front Range forecast for the next seven days. Let’s dive in!
Last week’s dumping of wet snow in the Front Range occurred three years to the day after our most recent significant snowstorm back in March of 2021. We do a comparative analysis between these two epic mid-March snowstorms, examining their distinct storm tracks, the meteorological factors contributing to their varied snowfall production, and discuss their differing forecast hype. We also explore their respective snow totals and distribution across the Denver Metro area, including a detailed account of how these two snowstorms were able to make Front Range history exactly three years apart despite being so fundamentally different.
As promised, a well-advertised spring-like snowstorm delivered the goods to (almost) the entire Front Range this week with over four feet of snow falling in the Foothills and up to 2 feet across the lower elevations. We take a look back at this odd, moisture-infused winter storm, discussing how the difficult forecast evolved during the lead up and ultimately how much rain and snow pummeled the area.
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